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Seahouses, Northumberland, United Kingdom
Hi, i'm Chris the creator of Green_Up Insightful Sports Trading and i hope you enjoy my blog. I'm an enthusiastic sports analyst specialising in tennis and football, part-time trader and Tennis mad amongst other things! The idea of my Blog is to post pre event advice, thoughts and ideas, stats, strategies and results updates etc. I will also Tweet during sporting events and be providing in-play insight and advice. I'm on a journey trying to develop my sports trading and betting skills and i enjoy sharing advice and thoughts with like minded enthusiasts. I hope you enjoy the Blog and i look forward to hopefully interacting with you sometime in the future.

Friday, 13 April 2012

Good morning

This is the first test post for the Green_Up Sports Trading service. 

Prices quoted are at the time of posting and maybe updated prior to the event starting.

Football advice for Saturday 14th April

Sunderland vs Wolves 3pm

Lay 0-0 HT score after 10minutes if 0-0 (LOST -1)

There has been a 1st half goal in 63% of Sunderlands home games this season.
There has been a 1st half goal in 60% of Sunderlands last 10 home games vs bottom-6 sides.

There has been a 1st half goal in 88% of Wolves away games this season.
There has been a 1st half goal in 80% of Wolves last 10 away games vs middle third sides.

 Birmingham vs Bristol City 3pm

Back Bristol City on Asian Handicap +1&+1.5 at 1.92 (VC Bet/Betfair) (WON +0.92)
(If Bristol City draw or win full profit, if lose by 1 goal half profit)

Birmingham have not won by > 1 goal in their 5 home matches vs bottom-6 sides this season.

Bristol City have won 1 and drawn 2 of their away games vs top-6 opposition this season.

Doncaster vs Portsmouth 3pm

Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.91 (LOST -1)
Exit at HT for equal profit if 0-0 otherwise stay in and exit for equal profit at 1.25

65% of Doncasters home games this season ended with U2.5 goals
80% of Doncasters last 10 homes games vs bottom-6 sides ended with U2.5 goals

71% of Portsmouths away games this season ended with U2.5 goals
60% of Portsmouths last 10 away games vs bottom-6 sides ended with U2.5 goals


Bundesliga 14th
Wolfsburg vs Augsburg

Lay 1-1 Correct Score at 1.95 (WON +1)

Premiership 14th
Sunderland vs Wolves

Lay the Draw at 2.0 (LOST -1)

Results update

Mixed results on the football today. Surprising there wasn't a 1st half goal or goal at all in the
Sunderland match, even though the stats suggested a good possibility. The stats did not pan out at all for the Doncaster match with a massive 7 goals in total, This came as a shock as both teams have scored < an AVG of a GPG home and away this season.

The Bristol City bet/trade was the one highlight with them taking a 0-2 lead and drawing 2-2 in the end. I was tempted to advise the lay of Birmingham at 1.5, but went for the safer option.

From experience things start to become more unpredicatble/volatile around this time of the season with relegation and promotion on the agenda and i will keep this in mind between now and the end of the season.
Tennis Saturday 14th

It's semi-finals day across the two ATP and two WTA tournaments and their are some good matches on offer if you can drag yourself away from the football and racing today.

I've looked at the daytime matches at Casablanca, Barcelona and Copenhagen and while the matches are competitive, there are are one or two trading possibilitis that may return a profit.

At Casablanca the match between Ramos and Andreev should be competitive as both players are playing well and in form. Ramoss' form this year is a level above Andreev's however, and he has already beaten him twice on clay, albeit in close matches at San Paulo in February 7-6 7-6 and at Kitzbuhel last summer 6-0 6-7 6-4.

I fancied Ramos for this title and i think he can make it 3 in a row against Andreev today, but judging by their last two meetings it won't be easy. As a result i won't be advising him at odds of around 1.6.

At Barcelona on the WTA the match between Cirstea and CIbulkova interests me for trading. I think Cibulkova might win, but her results this week and overall this year don't warrant her current price of 1.5, and i think she may trade higher in running.

Both players were pushed to 3 sets in their last two matches by lower ranked players and there is not a significant amount between them on surface form, so this could be a match where the lead changes hands, maybe over 3 sets.

Barcelona WTA
Cirstea vs Cibulkova - 2.15pm

Lay Cibulkova at 1.5 - back for 1/2 stake at 3.0 (LOST -1)
Stop loss - back Cibulkova at 1.25 (not if wins 1st set)

Result update

Albert Ramos won his match against Andreev as expected, however our main trade was a 
loser as Cirstea failed to put up any sort of fight against Cibulkova losing 6-1 6-1.

Plenty more great opportunities for making profits on the tennis over the coming months and the rest of the year however, so please stick with me and i'm sure you won't be dissapointed.

No further tennis advice for today, but i'll be back tomorrow morning before 10am with possible match advice for tomorrow's finals at Casablanca, Barcelona, Copenhagen and Houston. 

Also don't forget to tune in tomorrow evening when I will be posting tournament and match trading advice for next weeks Monte Carlo Masters starting Monday morning. 

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