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Hi, i'm Chris the creator of Green_Up Insightful Sports Trading and i hope you enjoy my blog. I'm an enthusiastic sports analyst specialising in tennis and football, part-time trader and Tennis mad amongst other things! The idea of my Blog is to post pre event advice, thoughts and ideas, stats, strategies and results updates etc. I will also Tweet during sporting events and be providing in-play insight and advice. I'm on a journey trying to develop my sports trading and betting skills and i enjoy sharing advice and thoughts with like minded enthusiasts. I hope you enjoy the Blog and i look forward to hopefully interacting with you sometime in the future.

Monday, 30 April 2012


Liverpool vs Fulham - 7.45pm

Back Under 2.5 goals at 2.1 (WON +1.1)
Back 1-1 Correct Score at 8.2 (LOST -1)


ATP Belgrade

Harrison vs Souza - 1pm
Lay Harrison at 1.6 - Back at 3.1 for equal profit (WON +1.67)
Stop loss back at 1.23 (not if wins 1st set)


Kavcic vs Veic - 2.30pm
Back Veic at 1.7 (WON +0.7)

WTA Estoril

Watson vs Hradecka - 12.15pm

Back Watson at  1.9 - Lay at 1.2 for equal profit (WON +0.58)
Stop loss back at 1.45 (not if loses 1st set)


Stephens vs Kanepi - 1.30pm 
Lay Kanepi at 1.43 - Back at 2.86 or equal profit (LOST -0.5)
Stop loss - Back at 1.22

WTA Budapest

Dushevina vs Pervak - 11.30am

Lay Pervak at 1.66 - Back at 3.3 for equal profit (WON +0.76)
Stop loss - Back at 1.33
(not if wins 1st set)

Munich ATP250

Third seed Marin Cilic is a proven performer at this level on clay having made two ATP finals, including here in 2010. He has been working his way back to form after picking up an injury at the start of the year and has shown signs over the last month he is playing well enough again to make an impact at this level.

At odds of 13.0 Cilic makes the most appeal to reach the final from the top half of the draw.

From the bottom half of the draw defending champion and 7th seed Nikolay Davydenko and 2nd seed Feliciano Lopez are both capable of doing well this week and making the final. 

On current form Feliciano Lopez has a good chance of making the semi-finals or final this week. He made the final at Belgrade on clay this time last year and played well at Barcelona last week, where came within touching distance of beating finalist and world number 5 David Ferrer in the quarter finals. There are no proven clay court experts in his section of the draw and he can reproduce his recent form and Belgrade form from last year he should go close to reaching the final this week. 

Davydenko is tempting to side with as the defending champion at odds of 13.0, but his lack of competitive matches, both this month and on the surface, may leave him exposed and at a disadvantage against players who have been playing regularly on the surface recently.

Based on Lopez form and advantage of playing competitive matches recently i think he has the better chance of reaching the final from the bottom half and represents value at 5.5.

Belgrade ATP250

On form top seed Pablo Andujar looks to have a great chance of winning his second ATP clay court title of the year this week. He won Casablanca earlier this month without too much trouble and with only a handful of players like Kubot, Nieminen and Fognini in his half of the draw who look capable of competing with him it would be a surprise if he wasn't challenging for the title come the end of this week. The one concern would be his results at Barcelona last week as he struggled against a qualifier in the first round and lost to a qualifier ranked outside the top-200 in a very close match in the second round.

Third seed Nieminen may prove to be the main danger to Andujar as he's been in good form this year, is usually a consistent performer on clay and over the last 12 months the majority of his losses on the surface came against top-20 ranked players. He made the third round at Barcelona last week and played really well against Nadal at Monte Carlo earlier in the month losing 6-4 6-3. I he can reproduce that level of form this week he should be competitive and go close to reaching the final.

At the prices i'll take a risk on Nieminen making the final at 6.5.

In the bottom half of the draw veteran David Nalbandian looks to have a great chance of making the final as his section of the draw is devoid of either any form players or players who are proven players at this level.

Barring injury Nalbandian looks a pretty safe bet to make the final at odds of 4.3

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