Green_Up

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Seahouses, Northumberland, United Kingdom
Hi, i'm Chris the creator of Green_Up Insightful Sports Trading and i hope you enjoy my blog. I'm an enthusiastic sports analyst specialising in tennis and football, part-time trader and Tennis mad amongst other things! The idea of my Blog is to post pre event advice, thoughts and ideas, stats, strategies and results updates etc. I will also Tweet during sporting events and be providing in-play insight and advice. I'm on a journey trying to develop my sports trading and betting skills and i enjoy sharing advice and thoughts with like minded enthusiasts. I hope you enjoy the Blog and i look forward to hopefully interacting with you sometime in the future.

Wednesday 18 April 2012

Football 19th

Europa League

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia
Back Valencia 0&+0.5 A/H at 2.24 (matched on Betfair 2.28) (LOST -1)
 
Sporting vs Bilbao
Back Sporting DNB at 1.95 (WON +0.95)

Tennis

Apologies, i didn't have time to write much analysis today.

Monte Carlo Masters Series - Live on Sky Sports and Betfair Live Video

Tipsarevic vs Simon - 11am
Lay Simon at 1.8 - Back at 3.6 for equal profit (LOST -0.5)
Stop Loss - Back at 1.41

 
Almagro vs Wawrinka - 12.30pm
Back Over 22.5 games at 2.1 Paddy Power (LOST -1)


Matches i may be looking to trade In Play (TBC via Twitter)

Nishikori vs Berdych - 9.30am (Backed Berdych 2.4 WON +1.4)

I'll be looking to lay Berdych here, ideally if he wins the 1st set. He's not been at his best recently, lost to Nishikori the two times they have met and clearly has problems dealing with his game.

Verdasco vs Tsonga - 11am (No trade Tsonga won 2-0)



I think Tsonga is to short here based on his record against top-20 players on clay (won 2 of last 10) however, Verdasco has not inspired confidence this week and struggled too beat lower ranked players Rochus and Dodig in 3 sets. He lost the 1st set in both matches so its would be to risky laying Tsonga from the start.

I may lay Tsonga if he wins the 1st set, if Verdasco is playing well and showing signs he can get back in to the match.

Other In Play Advice


Benneteau vs Murray
Lay Murray at 1.2 (Benneteau fell badly just after lay and retired not long after resuming play LOST -0.5)

Lay Simon at 1.65 (To cover/minimise loss on original trade, traded over 2.0 after Tipsarevic won 2nd set and had break points start of third set WON +0.3)

Haase vs Bellucci
Back Haase at 2.0 (Won 1st set and match WON +1)

Lay Haase at 1.45 for above profit (After Belluci broke back 2nd set 3-3 LOST -0.5)

2 comments:

  1. Over 21.5 games odds are at 1.67, not 2.10. Do you mean unders?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Apologies, yes it was the Unders line.

    I've changed the bet as the lines have moved since last night when i looked.

    Gone with O22.5 at 2.1 with Paddy Power which is stand out.

    ReplyDelete