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Hi, i'm Chris the creator of Green_Up Insightful Sports Trading and i hope you enjoy my blog. I'm an enthusiastic sports analyst specialising in tennis and football, part-time trader and Tennis mad amongst other things! The idea of my Blog is to post pre event advice, thoughts and ideas, stats, strategies and results updates etc. I will also Tweet during sporting events and be providing in-play insight and advice. I'm on a journey trying to develop my sports trading and betting skills and i enjoy sharing advice and thoughts with like minded enthusiasts. I hope you enjoy the Blog and i look forward to hopefully interacting with you sometime in the future.

Tuesday, 17 April 2012

Looking at results this week it's been mostly favourites winning so far and I see a similar outcome today.

Monte Carlos Masters Series - Live on Sky Sports & Betfair Live Video

Haase vs. Fognini - 12pm
Back Fognini at 1.62 - Lay at 1.12 for equal profit or if wins 1st set (whichever comes first) (LOST -0.5)
Stop loss - Lay at 3.2 (not if loses 1st set)

I watched Foginini against Llodra yesterday, he was pretty solid throughout and didn’t show any signs of his usual suspect temperament, which is a sign he could do well this week. He is a talented performer on clay when he puts his mind to it and he produced some good results last year reaching the semi-finals at Santiago and Umag and the quarter-finals at the French Open.

I also watched Haase yesterday and thought he was lucky to win the 1st set against Monaco after a rain delay and he would definitely have lost if Monaco didn't retire after falling and injuring himself. Haases' body language and attitude throughout the match was pretty non-plus, and he showed no emotion when he won the 1st set or throughout the match, which was pretty strange for a player who normally where's his heart on his sleeve. He never looked like he was enjoying the match throughout or believed he would win, and just seemed to be going through the motions really.

He may make Fognini work harder than Llodra did as he's more patient in the rallies, but if he comes in to this match with a similar attitude to yesterday, he will struggle to win i think.

Andujar vs. Wawrinka - 1pm
Back Wawrinka 2-0 sets at 2.1 (WON +1)
Stop loss - Lay Wawrinka at 4.2

Wawrinka looked highly impressive beating Lopez in straight sets yesterday and he should be able to take care of Andujar in similar fashion today. The Spaniard played 4 matches back-to-back winning the title at Casablanca on Sunday and also had a tough 2 hours plus match against Delbonis yesterday, so he is bound to be fatigued and this could be a match too far for him today.

As i expect Favourites to dominate today i thought i'd advise a Mutliple that should go close to winning.

4-fold - pays just over 4.0 (LOST)

Matches i may trade In Play (TBC via Twitter)

Gil vs. Simon  - 9.30am (No In Play advice Simon won 2-0)

I expect this match to go one of two ways i.e. Simon wins in straight sets, or if Gil plays like he did reaching the quarter finals from qualifying last year Simon may find he has his work cut out to win. Simon is usually a solid player and rarely loses to lower ranked players in big tournaments, but he has been less reliable on clay in the past. Clay is Gil's best surface and he will be fighting to defend his ranking so there’s an outside possibility Gil can push Simon or cause an upset.

Benneteau vs. Melzer - 10.45 (No In Play advice Melzer lost 2-0)

I think Melzer will win this match. He is the more accomplished clay courter and has the motivation of defending ranking points after reaching the semi-finals last year. However, he's lost the 1st set the last 3 times they have met and Benneteau is a tough opponent, so i'm not confident in backing Melzer from the start. I'll be looking to trade if Melzer loses the first set as theres a good chance he could come back and win if he's showing signs of playing well.

Kukushkin vs Volandri
Back Volandri In Play at 1.95 (LOST -0.5)
Stop loss back at 3.9

Cilic vs Berdych
Lay Berdych at 1.17- Exit 1.67 (WON +1.77)

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